tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post5321047092497366617..comments2023-04-22T09:22:21.628-07:00Comments on the dorbel daily: California Dreamingdorbelhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13383981659478145403noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-81881868437324307602011-03-18T08:55:18.710-07:002011-03-18T08:55:18.710-07:00wow, that changes things a lot! and i totally see ...wow, that changes things a lot! and i totally see ur point now ;), also, i have been trying to use PRAT in live bg matches, and it so far has worked very well (much better than woolsley's law for me) thank you.<br /><br />as for position 1, i think i saw as one that is much stronger than it actually is, one that has gammon possibilities and one more roll should determine how good it really is, and if it gets worse, one that i could still double.<br /><br />pos 2 is similar, gammon posibilities, but waiting to make sure things didn't turn around, not really worried that i would loose my ability to double soon. again i thought my position was much stronger than it actually is.RickrInSFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-16678447467688683612011-03-16T06:28:43.505-07:002011-03-16T06:28:43.505-07:00Are you by any chance looking at the board the wro...Are you by any chance looking at the board the wrong way round? The home boards are on the left.dorbelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13383981659478145403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-31165616999673722652011-03-16T06:26:52.576-07:002011-03-16T06:26:52.576-07:006-4 for Red is fine, you just play 13-3. After tha...6-4 for Red is fine, you just play 13-3. After that White is on roll trailing by 20 pips with no anchor and still behind a four prime. Not much chance of White trapping anything from there is there?dorbelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13383981659478145403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-18100201730759587972011-03-14T12:04:37.730-07:002011-03-14T12:04:37.730-07:00ok... i did not read your explination of what a th...ok... i did not read your explination of what a threat is good enough, the problem i have with assessing threats in this position is any roll, even a 6 4, gives you a chance to trap me back, or get a good back gameRickrInSFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-41680562639476580392011-03-12T01:28:53.623-08:002011-03-12T01:28:53.623-08:00..........and a direct shot after 1-1...........and a direct shot after 1-1.dorbelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13383981659478145403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-5694371157199273732011-03-12T01:03:41.398-08:002011-03-12T01:03:41.398-08:00Woolsey's Rule; "If you are not certain i...Woolsey's Rule; "If you are not certain it's a take, it must be a double." The reverse isn't true.<br />Why would you see Position 1 as having equal threats? Red has threats to point on White and to continue to do that until he has a prime or closes White out. When he can't do that he races. Because he leads and has White behind a four prime, he doesn't need to hit loose. White has almost no threats at all. White gets a direct shot after 3-1 and an indirect afte 2-1, which is not of the same order of magnitude. Still doubtful? Set up the position as it is with White owning the cube, play it 100 times and keep score.dorbelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13383981659478145403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-6831198842413342922011-03-11T13:52:01.846-08:002011-03-11T13:52:01.846-08:00also, if i saw this position (#1) as
position - s...also, if i saw this position (#1) as <br />position - slightly mine<br />race - slightly mine<br />threats - equal<br /><br />would i double?RickrInSFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-20969331225959078452011-03-11T13:44:02.929-08:002011-03-11T13:44:02.929-08:00ok, so am i getting woolsley's law wrong, or a...ok, so am i getting woolsley's law wrong, or am i getting the position wrong? (i still see this as basically even with big chances of gammon on both sides)RickrInSFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-89382295944594689292011-03-11T11:26:17.314-08:002011-03-11T11:26:17.314-08:00You can be certain that it is a take and it can st...You can be certain that it is a take and it can still be a double.dorbelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13383981659478145403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-28434796237610647482011-03-11T11:20:55.405-08:002011-03-11T11:20:55.405-08:00This comment has been removed by the author.dorbelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13383981659478145403noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-66685628358533284302011-03-11T10:24:13.448-08:002011-03-11T10:24:13.448-08:00Dorbel,
thank you for taking the time to do the ...Dorbel,<br /> thank you for taking the time to do the analysis. it is well known that the cube is my biggest weakness, i'm still baffled by Woolsley's law - this is the way i saw it, still do kinda<br /><br />Position 1 - as red, it looks like a double/obvious take, therfore red should not double. <br /><br />as white, I would love for red to double against me here, the likely hood of red jamming his men up and then me trapping one or two men is way too tempting. going down 2-2 is well worth the risk<br /><br />woosley's law position 2<br /><br />as red, i know i'm ahead and threatening backgammon, so at 1-2 i see this as an obvious pass for white<br />as white, i think i would love for red to double, gets me out of a very risky position, i don't see this as anyway tempting enough for the risk<br /><br /><br />I like your PRAT acronym, and i should/will work on this, unfortunatly, for me to acruately asses threat for everymove would make me move slower than blotalot when he was young ;) - so - taking the time on these two positions, let me know how i do<br /><br />position 1<br /><br />i see red position as very slightly ahead - although red has a chance of a gammon, white also has possiblity of coming back with a gammon<br /><br />race - slightly ahead in number, but chance of checkers getting hit here, so it doesn't mean much - chance for me to get further ahead are good, chances for white are fair<br /><br />threat - here's where i fall apart, counting is impossibe for me to go thru all possibilities without spending hours pre move, but i don't really see any threats on either side here that do not come without of a chance for the other to have a backgame - i guess 2 2 is my best roll, but even that i have to jump over your 5 prime, with all my other men in or close to my home, so i don't see any clear threats<br /><br />i'll spend more time position 2 and your next blog soon - work interferes with life, thx againRickrInSFnoreply@blogger.com