tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post5374157679061429732..comments2023-04-22T09:22:21.628-07:00Comments on the dorbel daily: Keeping An Eye On The Mastersdorbelhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13383981659478145403noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-8628227941730991982011-11-26T01:28:02.368-08:002011-11-26T01:28:02.368-08:00with 3 yes - double and pass - I am not convinced ...with 3 yes - double and pass - I am not convinced you win enough gammons to continue to play on but will be interested in the analysisAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-10612274977227541762011-11-25T16:21:20.094-08:002011-11-25T16:21:20.094-08:00boop says (can't remember my login at the mo) ...boop says (can't remember my login at the mo) --- b4 reading other's comments<br /><br />1) i think i may try bar/24 13/7 like mocky - the only other move is 24/18 which leaves the most hits. <br /><br />If i'm not hit i'll probably make the 7 point - if i'm hit there are 2 or 3 white blots to get lucky with.<br /><br />2)umm no double / take? … same reasons as above<br /><br />3) double / pass - i'll probably make the 8 point very soon giving me better connectivity and black's 2 point blot is vulnerable if I'm unlucky enough to be hit soon.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4886491474303385529.post-46064942892376415652011-11-25T14:28:41.113-08:002011-11-25T14:28:41.113-08:00Tough problems!
1. I would also have played bar/2...Tough problems!<br /><br />1. I would also have played bar/24 13/7. I would not consider 8/2 for more than a moment; bar/18 is the only other reasonable candidate. Black is slightly behind in the race, which normally points to 13/7 over 24/18, aiming to prime rather than escape. Additionally, 24/18 breaks anchor and runs into a double shot at a moment when White's board is stronger.<br /><br />2. White has 14 shots, but most of them don't lock up the game immediately, and if White misses then White will often find himself in an equal or even inferior priming game. White can make the bar with 66 33 61 but except for White's super-joker 66, these rolls are duplicated with hitting. I wouldn't double.<br /><br />3. I don't think Black can take this. The question is whether White is too good. I would be tempted to cash this but I have a tendency to cash when too good so I suspect this may be another instance of that. In most cases White will still be able to cash next turn. White has some good rolls that greatly improve his position, and only a few exchanges are bad (e.g., Black manages to hit or roll boxcars next).<br /><br />Paul likes to joke that he has a pattern of missing a double, rolling a joker, and cashing when too good, thereby winning 1 point instead of 4 points. I wonder if this is a case of that!Timothy Chowhttp://alum.mit.edu/www/tchownoreply@blogger.com